Sydney: They’re not budging. The minor premiership belongs to the Swans.
Best case: 1st. Worst case: 1st.
Port Adelaide: A win today in Freo secures a home final, could slip to 4th if they lose and their percentage drops below Geelong.
Best case: 2nd. Worst case: 4th.
GWS: A win in Ballarat will lift them above the Cats, but would still be relying on Port to lose to pinch second spot.
Best case: 2nd. Worst case: 4th.
Geelong: If Port and GWS lose and Port’s percentage cops a whack the Cats could seize 2nd spot and a Victorian final in week one.
Best case: 2nd. Worst case: 4th.
Brisbane: Fifth it is for the Lions and a home elimination final. Nothing that happens today can alter their position.
Best case: 5th. Worst case: 5th.
Hawthorn: Start Sunday 6th and as the AFL’s form team, but a Bulldogs win would see them finish 7th. Carlton look too far behind the Hawks percentage wise to push them down to 8th.
Best case: 6th. Worst case: 8th
Western Bulldogs: Their strong percentage will push them above the Hawks if they win the early game in Ballarat. But a loss would see them nervously watching to see if the Blues and Dockers win their games.
Best case: 6th. Worst case: 9th
Carlton: Unlikely to win by enough to jump Hawthorn into 6th, but it is theoretically possible. If they lose, their finals hopes rest on Fremantle losing at home.
Best case: 6th. Worst case: 9th
Fremantle: Presently 10th, but will know their equation before they take on Port. If the Dogs and Blues win, their finals goose is cooked, but if one of those teams slips up they can channel the spirit of Dumb and Dumber’s Lloyd Christmas – “so you’re telling me there’s a chance”.
Best case: 7th Worst case: 10th