Kamala Harris is now in the lead among Generation X, Generation Z, millennials, baby boomers and the silent/greatest generations in a new poll.
With less than three weeks until the presidential election on November 5, attention is on what the polls are saying. In general, there are incredibly tight, marginal leads on either side, suggesting a neck-and-neck race.
But a new Marist poll shows Harris enjoying the lead among every generation surveyed between October 8 and 10.
Some 53 percent of Generation Zs (people born between 1997 and 2012) and millennials (born between 1981 and 1996) said they supported Harris, over 47 percent who said they supported Donald Trump.
Meanwhile, Harris enjoyed a 55 percent lead among baby boomers (born between 1946 and 1964) and the silent/greatest generation (born between 1901 and 1927), over Trump’s 45 percent.
Harris also had the lead among these generations in Marist’s previous poll, carried out between September 27 and October 1, but Trump had a 53 percent majority from Generation X (born between 1965 and 1980).
However, Trump lost this lead in the most recent Marist poll, which shows Generation X divided with 51 percent for Harris and 48 percent for Harris.
Marist interviewed 2,021 adults, made up of registered voters and likely voters, and the poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.17 percentage points.
It also says that, among registered voters questioned, 38 percent were Democrats, 33 percent were Republicans and 28 percent were independent. Among likely voters, 40 percent were Democrats, 33 percent Republican and 26 percent independent.
Newsweek has contacted teams for Trump and Harris, via email outside of normal working hours, for comment.
It comes as Trump appears to have gained some momentum in recent swing state polls.
Averages of polls compiled by 538 show that in recent weeks, Trump has expanded his lead in Arizona, overtaken Harris in North Carolina and pulled even in Nevada. The former president has also narrowed the leads for Harris in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
Trump had a significant national polling advantage over his Democratic opponent when the party’s presidential candidate was President Joe Biden.
But this changed in July, after Biden dropped out of the race and endorsed Harris, who quickly closed the gap in multiple surveys.
As of Wednesday, the vice president was leading Trump by 2.4 percentage points in the national FiveThirtyEight average, down from a 3.3-point lead on September 18.
Similarly, Harris was just ahead with 49.3 compared to Trump’s 46.5., according to statistician Nate Silver‘s Silver Bulletin blog.
RealClearPolling had Harris on 48.7 percent, 1.5 points ahead of Trump, who had 47.2 percent support.
University of Kentucky political science professor D. Stephen Voss told Newsweek that polling was “going to bounce up and down a bit between now and Election Day.”
He said: “The temptation will be to try to attach interpretations to every swing up or down in a candidate’s polling, but most of the time, short-term fluctuations in polling are not meaningful. Poll respondents do not make their decisions in exactly the same way voters ultimately do.”
AP
