Chances of qualifying for knockouts according to CricViz’s CompViz model: Invincibles 93%, Brave 73%, Phoenix 49%, Rockets 45%, Superchargers 26%, Fire 13%, Spirit 1%, Originals 0%.
Defending champions Oval Invincibles are in a strong position. Two wins in their final two games would guarantee progress to the final or the eliminator but one may be enough.
Southern Brave, Trent Rockets, Birmingham Phoenix and Northern Superchargers are in a good position but may need to win all their remaining games to progress. Even then, net run-rate may decide who goes through.
Welsh Fire and London Spirit almost certainly need to win all of their games and hope that other results go their way to progress.
Manchester Originals, who have been beaten finalists in the past two seasons, are eliminated after losing their opening five games.