The 2023 NFL Playoffs roll on into the divisional spherical with simply eight groups nonetheless standing within the hunt for Tremendous Bowl 57. Six of the highest eight postseason seeds stay alive, as do six of the seven groups that entered the playoffs with the most effective regular-season file. It ought to be a wildly entertaining weekend and one other nice alternative for us to make our greatest unfold, moneyline, over/underneath, and prop bets.
All season, we have now rigorously chosen bets from BetMGM that not solely strike us as intriguing but additionally appear to be the most effective worth for our cash. We dive deep into break up stats, betting developments, and superior knowledge to seek out angles and edges to assault. That is the time of yr when really robust groups ship and the much less environment friendly squads go residence.
MORE NFL DIVISIONAL ROUND PICKS: Towards the unfold | Moneyline
We cleaned up final week, hitting on 5 of six of our favourite bets. Check out our successes from wild-card weekend:
|Cowboys||@ Bucs||-2.5 (-110)||DAL 31-14|
|49ers||vs. Seahawks||-9.5 (-110)||SF 41-23|
|Cowboys||@ Bucs||ML (-145)||DAL 31-14|
|Chargers||@ Jaguars||O 47.5 (-110)||JAX 31-30|
|Bengals||vs. Ravens||CIN by 7-12 (+340)||CIN 24-17|
Speak about a profitable spherical. When you wager $100 on each wager we beneficial final week, you’ll have walked away with a revenue of almost $500. When you had parlayed the 5 hits, you’ll have crushed the sportsbooks for over $5,000!
Let’s hold the great occasions rolling and journey into the second stage of the postseason with the boldness of the Payments at Orchard Park. Listed here are our greatest bets for the divisional spherical of the 2023 NFL Playoffs.
JUMP TO: Spreads | Moneylines | Over/underneath | Participant props
Greatest NFL Playoffs Divisional Spherical Bets: Towards the unfold
All odds are courtesy of BetMGM.
Bengals (+5.5) at Payments
Look, we get the consternation proven by the betting public in terms of backing Cincinnati at Orchard Park. The Bengals will probably be lacking a number of offensive linemen, and Buffalo has misplaced only one residence recreation because the begin of the 2022 season. Nonetheless, we should additionally take into account the truth that Joe Burrow has helped Cincy cowl 19 spreads over his previous 24 begins. He went on an unbelievable run within the Bengals’ blitz to the Tremendous Bowl final season, cementing his “Joey Brr” legacy as a cool, calm, collected QB at residence or on the street. Bear in mind, we do not want a win right here — we simply want Zac Taylor’s guys to lose by lower than a landing. Contemplating the Bengals have lined in every of the previous three video games they had been 5.5-point underdogs or better, we’re going with the 70 p.c of sharp bettors and backing Cincinnati right here.
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Giants (+7.5) at Eagles
Giants head coach Brian Daboll deserves a ton of credit score. Loads of us questioned whether or not his QB guru expertise would translate to success for Daniel Jones and the Giants. Nicely, now that Daboll has led the G-men to their first playoff victory because the yr Eli Manning led the group to its final Tremendous Bowl win (2011), it is protected to say he is the true deal. Many similarities really exist between that 2011 squad and this present one: Good however not nice QB, strong operating recreation, no Professional Bowl receivers, feisty protection, nice teaching, and comparatively straightforward postseason path. Sorry, Eagles followers, however let’s face it: Jalen Hurts (shoulder) is ailing. After beginning the season 13-1, Philly closed out the marketing campaign shedding to Dallas and New Orleans, then barely eking by this identical Giants squad 22-16 to retain the No. 1 seed. Now we count on Hurts to unexpectedly be one hundred pc and assist the Eagles blow out the Giants? Nah, I do not see it taking place. Philadelphia might simply win this recreation — Nick Sirianni’s squad has gone 7-2 at residence this season — however the Eagles have additionally didn’t cowl in 4 of the previous 5 video games during which they had been favored by seven-plus factors. Purchase some factors if you would like some additional insurance coverage, however we’re backing Daboll and his feisty ‘canines this weekend.
Different divisional-round spreads we’re contemplating: Cowboys +4 at 49ers; Chiefs -8.5 vs. Jaguars
MORE PLAYOFFS: Energy Rankings
Greatest NFL Playoffs Divisional Spherical Bets: Moneyline
Payments (-190) vs. Bengals (1st half)
You are studying this proper — I simply picked Buffalo to steer on the half of a recreation during which I already instructed you to wager towards the Payments on the full-game unfold. Hear me out: Buffalo has scored 15.8 factors per first half this season, the second-most within the NFL, and simply put 20 on the Dolphins within the first half-hour of its wild-card win over Miami. Conversely, the Bengals have averaged simply 11 first-half factors in away video games this season, and simply put up 9 factors throughout the primary two frames of their wild-card win over the Ravens. Burrow and firm are a second-half squad, scoring the sixth-most factors per second half within the NFL, and I count on the Bengals to mount a close-but-no-cigar comeback towards the high-flying Payments.
Different divisional-round moneylines we’d entertain: 49ers -165 1H vs. Cowboys; Giants +275 at Eagles (modest wager)
Greatest NFL Playoffs Divisional Spherical Wager: Over/underneath
Cowboys at 49ers: OVER 46 (-110)
In my Cowboys-49ers betting preview, I in the end picked the Niners to win 27-24, and whereas I would not go betting the deed to my brand-new home on an OVER of fifty.5 right here, I’d really feel fairly snug placing my licensed pre-owned Camry on the OVER of 46. San Francisco has averaged a whopping 34.6 factors per recreation because the Legend of Brock Purdy started in Week 13, and the Cowboys have averaged a nearly-as-impressive 32.3 factors per recreation since getting Dak Prescott again from his hand damage in Week 7. Each Dan Quinn’s Cowboys D and DeMeco Ryans’ Niners D are nice items, so we will perceive why a lot of the betting public is on the UNDER, however we’ll go together with the 72 p.c of sharp cash and wager on this one being extra of an offensive firefight than a defensive battle.
Chiefs vs. Jaguars: UNDER 53 (-110)
The Doug Pederson and Trevor Lawrence-led Jaguars have been among the finest storylines within the AFC this season. What a distinction good teaching makes, huh City Meyer? Nonetheless, I feel this projected complete reveals that the oddsmakers are giving the Jags a bit an excessive amount of credit score whereas not giving the Chiefs’ protection sufficient respect. The Chiefs have surrendered simply 15.6 factors per recreation over their previous three video games, and Dec. 11 was the final time a Kansas Metropolis opponent exceeded 200 passing yards. The Jags’ good occasions would possibly come to an finish at Arrowhead, the place KC has received by a mean of 25.1-19.4 because the begin of 2022, however the future appears vivid for Lawrence and firm.
Different divisional-round over/underneath bets price a glance: Bengals-Payments OVER 48.5 (-110); Giants-Eagles UNDER 48 (-110)
Greatest NFL Playoffs Divisional Spherical Wager: Prop
Chiefs vs. Jaguars: Travis Kelce anytime TD (-135)
Nonetheless one of the crucial clutch offensive gamers within the NFL, Kelce deserves much more MVP consideration as many gave Dolphins wideout Tyreek Hill this season. Patrick Mahomes didn’t skip a beat this yr, and can very possible take down MVP honors largely due to Kelce’s dominating presence. All mentioned, the All-Professional hauled in 12 TDs, second within the NFL behind the Raiders’ Davante Adams. Anticipate extra prime-time greatness from the stud tight finish this weekend. Jacksonville allowed the fourth-most receiving yards and ninth-most TDs to the tight finish place this season and will not have a solution for Arrowhead’s best.